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Table 1 Emergency department syncope studies

From: Risk stratification of adult emergency department syncope patients to predict short-term serious outcomes after discharge (RiSEDS) study

No

Year

Study

Variables

Scoring system

Endpoints

Results1

Strengths

Weakness

1

1997

Martin et al.

• Abnormal ECG

0 to 4

1-year arrhythmias or deaths

4.4% score 0

One of the earliest studies

Only long-term outcomes

• History of ventricular arrhythmia

(1 point for each item)

• History of CHF

57.6% score 3 or 4

Not validated

• Age >45 years

2

2002

OESIL

• Abnormal ECG

0 to 4

1-year mortality

0% score 0

Externally validated for

Only long-term outcomes

• History of cardiovascular disease

(1 point for each item)

0.6% score

• Lack of prodrome

14% score 2

up to 6 month outcomes

Modest performance for outcomes up to 6 months

• Age >65 years

29% score 3

53% score 4

3

2003

Sarasin et al.

• Age >65 years

0 to 3

Arrhythmias in unexplained ED syncope

2% score 0

Studied arrhythmia risk in unexplained syncope

Only inpatients

• History of CHF

(1 point for each item)

17% score 1

Internal validation on historical cohort

Abnormal ECG

35% score 2

27% score 3

No external validation

4

2004

San Francisco Syncope Rule

• Abnormal ECG

No item = No risk

7-day serious events

Sensitivity 98%

First tool for short-term events

Wide variations in performance

• History of CHF

• Shortness of breath

• Hematocrit < 30%

≥ 1 item = risk

Specificity 56%

Most widely validated

ECG variable too broad

• Triage systolic BP <90 mmHg

Included soft outcomes2

5

2007

Boston Syncope Rule

• Compilation of 25 plausible variables

≥ 1 item = risk

30-day serious events

Sensitivity 97%

A thorough list of variables

No statistical methods

Specificity 62%

Not practical

No external validation

6

2008

STePS

• Abnormal ECG

≥ 1 item = risk

10-day and 1-year events

Not Reported

Addresses the role of admissions to hospital

Readmission to hospital was an outcome

• Trauma

• No prodrome

• Male sex

Not validated

7

2008

EGSYS

• Palpitations before syncope (+4)

Addition of all items

Cardiac syncope probability

2% score <3

First study to incorporate variables from history

Not generalizable - Syncope expert always available

• Abnormal ECG and/or heart disease (+3)

• Syncope during effort (+3)

2-year total mortality

13% score 3

• Syncope while supine (+2)

33% score 4

77% score >4

Internal validation 92% sensitivity

2% score <3

21% score ≥3

No robust external validation

• Autonomic prodrome (−1)

8

2009

Sun et al.

• Age >90 years (+1)

Addition of all items

30-day events among older (≥ 60 years) syncope patients

2.5% score −1, 0

First study to risk stratify older patients

Retrospective

• Male sex (+1)

• History of arrhythmia (+1)

6.3% score 1,2

Can be applied only to older patients

• Triage systolic BP >160 (+1)

Large sample size

• Abnormal ECG (+1)

• Abnormal troponin I (+1)

20% score 3 to 6

Not validated

• Near-syncope (−1)

9

2010

ROSE

• BNP level ≥300 pg/ml

Presence of any item

1-month serious events

Sensitivity 87%

First study to evaluate the role of BNP in risk stratification

Short-term events included stroke

• Bradycardia ≤50 in ED/pre-hospital

• Positive fecal occult blood on rectal

Specificity 66%

• Anemia – Hemoglobin ≤ 90 g/L

Requires BNP testing that is not widely available

• Chest pain with syncope

• Q wave on ECG (except in lead III)

• O2 saturation ≤ 94% on room air

Less than ideal sensitivity

  1. ECG = Electrocardiogram, CHF = Congestive Heart Failure, OESIL = Osservatorio Epidemiologico sulla Sincope nel Lazio, BP = Blood Pressure, STePS = Short-Term Prognosis of Syncope, EGSYS = Evaluation of Guidelines in Syncope Study, BNP = Brain type or B-type Natriuretic Peptide.
  2. 1Results of validation phase when available.
  3. 2Soft outcomes = Cortical stroke and hospitalization on return visit with no serious events.
  4. All studies used standard statistical methods to develop the tool except the Boston Syncope Rule study.