Table 3 Hazard ratios (HR) by variable and follow-up length, with associated 95% confidence intervals

Female

Male

1.17**

(1.06 – 1.30)

1.14***

(1.06 – 1.23)

1.15***

(1.08 – 1.23)

1.13***

(1.07 – 1.20)

Age <60

Age 60–74

1.41***

(1.23 – 1.62)

1.47***

(1.33 – 1.64)

1.44***

(1.32 – 1.58)

1.46***

(1.35 – 1.58)

Age >75

1.45***

(1.26 – 1.67)

1.45***

(1.30 – 1.62)

1.56***

(1.42 – 1.71)

1.57***

(1.45 – 1.70)

Affluent

2

1.01

(0.87 – 1.17)

1.05

(0.94 – 1.17)

1.07

(0.97 – 1.18)

1.07

(0.98 – 1.16)

3

0.98

(0.84 – 1.13)

1.09

(0.98 – 1.22)

1.15**

(1.05 – 1.27)

1.17***

(1.08 – 1.27)

Deprived

1.09

(0.94 – 1.26)

1.21**

(1.08 – 1.35)

1.21***

(1.10 – 1.33)

1.25***

(1.16 – 1.36)

Test for trend (Deprivation Index)^

1.02

(0.98 – 1.07)

1.06***

(1.03 – 1.10)

1.07***

(1.04 – 1.10)

1.08***

(1.05 – 1.11)

All other diagnoses

Heart Failure

1.32*

(1.02 – 1.70)

1.43***

(1.19 – 1.71)

1.47***

(1.26 – 1.71)

1.33***

(1.16 – 1.53)

COPD/asthma

1.25*

(1.04 – 1.50)

1.23**

(1.08 – 1.41)

1.29***

(1.15 – 1.45)

1.34***

(1.21 – 1.48)

ACS

1.12

(0.97 – 1.28)

1.15**

(1.04 – 1.27)

1.12*

(1.02 – 1.22)

1.07

(0.99 – 1.15)

Stroke

0.54**

(0.37 – 0.81)

0.57***

(0.44 – 0.75)

0.65***

(0.52 – 0.81)

0.76**

(0.63 – 0.90)

Without co-morbidity

1 co-morbidity

1.02

(0.83 – 1.25)

1.04

(0.89 – 1.23)

1.05

(0.91 – 1.20)

1.10

(0.97 – 1.24)

2 co-morbidities

1.13

(0.93 – 1.38)

1.21*

(1.03 – 1.41)

1.19*

(1.04 – 1.36)

1.29***

(1.15 – 1.45)

3 co-morbidities

1.25*

(1.04 – 1.49)

1.39***

(1.21 – 1.60)

1.41***

(1.25 – 1.59)

1.54***

(1.38 – 1.71)

4 co-morbidities

1.26

(0.93 – 1.69)

1.46**

(1.17 – 1.82)

1.42***

(1.18 – 1.73)

1.49***

(1.26 – 1.76)

Test for trend (number of com.)^

1.08**

(1.03 – 1.14)

1.11***

(1.08 – 1.17)

1.13***

(1.09 – 1.17)

1.15***

(1.12 – 1.18)

A&E referral

GP referral

1.09

(0.98 – 1.22)

1.00

(0.92 – 1.09)

0.96

(0.89 – 1.03)

0.93*

(0.88 – 0.99)

Other referral

1.17

(0.85 – 1.60)

0.84

(0.64 – 1.09)

0.91

(0.74 – 1.13)

0.94

(0.78 – 1.13)

<2 days LoS

-

-

-

-

2–5 days LoS

0.54***

(0.42 – 0.69)

0.82*

(0.69 – 0.99)

0.92

(0.79 – 1.08)

1.06

(0.93 – 1.21)

6–11 days LoS

0.52***

(0.41 – 0.66)

0.89

(0.74 – 1.05)

1.14

(0.98 – 1.32)

1.31***

(1.15 – 1.49)

>11 days LoS

0.54***

(0.41 – 0.70)

0.95

(0.79 – 1.14)

1.23**

(1.06 – 1.44)

1.42***

(1.25 – 1.62)

<2 days LoS * Time^^

2–5 days LoS * Time^^

1.07***

(1.05 – 1.09

1.01***

(1.01 – 1.02)

1.01***

(1.00 – 1.01)

1.002***

(1.001 – 1.003)

6–11 days LoS * Time^^

1.08***

(1.06 – 1.11

1.02***

(1.01 – 1.02)

1.01***

(1.00 – 1.01)

1.002***

(1.001 – 1.003)

>11 days LoS * Time^^

1.09***

(1.06 – 1.11

1.02***

(1.02 – 1.02)

1.01***

(1.00 – 1.01)

1.002**

(1.001 – 1.002)