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Table 3 Univariate analysis of acute pancreatitis predictor variables

From: Derivation and validation of the ED-SAS score for very early prediction of mortality and morbidity with acute pancreatitis: a retrospective observational study

Predictor

30-Day Mortality Odds Ratio (95% CI)

Female gender

1.1 (0.5–2.7)

Age > 60 yearsa

7.6 (2.5–23.2)

Black Race

0.3 (0.0–2.4)

Hematocrit > 44%

0.5 (0.1–2.2)

SpO2 < 96%a

5.7 (2.3–14.2)

≥2 SIRS criteriaa,b

4.3 (1.0–18.7)

Charlson Index

1.2 (1.0–1.5)

  1. aStatistically significant predictors upon implementation of the multivariant analysis that were retained in final model; bFever > 38.0 °C or hypothermia < 36.0 °C, tachycardia > 90 beats/minute, tachypnea > 20 breaths/minute, leukocytosis > 12*10 [9]/L, or leucopoenia < 4*10 [9]/L.
  2. SIRS Systemic inflammatory response syndrome
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BMC Emergency Medicine

ISSN: 1471-227X

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