Table 3 The results of the deterministic base case analyses
From: An economic evaluation of triage tools for patients with suspected severe injuries in England
Triage Tool | Number of cases sent to the MTC per 100,000 patients | Number of cases sent to the MTC per 8916 patients (ISS ≥ 16) | Number of cases sent to the MTC per 91,084 patients (ISS < 16) | Proportion of patients who died before discharge | Proportion of patients who die between discharge and 1-year post-injury | Mean years lived | Mean discounted QALYs | Mean discounted Costs | ICER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deterministic | |||||||||
28.4% Sens, 88.6% Spec | 18,912 | 4600 | 14,312 | 4.17% | 1.80% | 32.07 | 13.620 | £32,574 | – |
57.0% Sens, 80.0% Spec | 28,120 | 6220 | 21,900 | 4.14% | 1.78% | 32.08 | 13.624 | £32,698 | ED |
64.2% Sens, 76.1% Spec | 31,892 | 6724 | 25,168 | 4.12% | 1.78% | 32.08 | 13.625 | £32,743 | ED |
69.8% Sens, 70.1% Spec | 37,536 | 7092 | 30,444 | 4.11% | 1.77% | 32.08 | 13.626 | £32,774 | ED |
74.6% Sens 65.7% Spec | 41,672 | 7392 | 34,280 | 4.10% | 1.78% | 32.08 | 13.626 | £32,793 | ED |
87.5% Sens, 62.8% Spec | 44,976 | 8156 | 36,820 | 4.09% | 1.76% | 32.09 | 13.629 | £32,854 | £33,026 |
90.4% Sens, 58.4% Spec | 49,100 | 8364 | 40,736 | 4.08% | 1.75% | 32.09 | 13.630 | £32,889 | £39,584 |
94.8% Sens, 18.7% Spec | 83,116 | 8612 | 74,504 | 4.08% | 1.75% | 32.09 | 13.630 | £32,979 | ED |
99.8% Sens, 2.5% Spec | 97,860 | 8912 | 88,948 | 4.06% | 1.74% | 32.10 | 13.633 | £33,064 | £54,515 |
Probabilistic (all values are mean values) | |||||||||
28.4% Sens, 88.6% Spec | 18,448 | 4607 | 13,841 | 4.78% | 1.78% | 32.05 | 13.580 | £33,024 | – |
57.0% Sens, 80.0% Spec | 27,670 | 6331 | 21,339 | 4.72% | 1.76% | 32.07 | 13.586 | £33,181 | £25,039 |
64.2% Sens, 76.1% Spec | 31,505 | 6763 | 24,741 | 4.70% | 1.75% | 32.07 | 13.588 | £33,223 | £27,311 |
69.8% Sens, 70.1% Spec | 37,069 | 7100 | 29,969 | 4.69% | 1.75% | 32.07 | 13.589 | £33,262 | ED |
74.6% Sens 65.7% Spec | 41,192 | 7388 | 33,804 | 4.68% | 1.74% | 32.08 | 13.590 | £33,294 | ED |
87.5% Sens, 62.8% Spec | 44,499 | 8165 | 36,334 | 4.65% | 1.73% | 32.08 | 13.593 | £33,363 | £27,624 |
90.4% Sens, 58.4% Spec | 48,516 | 8339 | 40,177 | 4.65% | 1.73% | 32.08 | 13.594 | £33,386 | £35,791 |
94.8% Sens, 18.7% Spec | 83,383 | 8603 | 74,779 | 4.64% | 1.72% | 32.09 | 13.594 | £33,486 | ED |
99.8% Sens, 2.5% Spec | 97,810 | 8904 | 88,906 | 4.62% | 1.72% | 32.09 | 13.596 | £33,542 | £77,477 |