Skip to main content

Impact of the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic on emergency department-to-intensive care unit admissions in Korea: an interrupted time-series analysis

Abstract

Background

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in significant disruptions to critical care systems globally. However, research on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on intensive care unit (ICU) admissions via the emergency department (ED) is limited. Therefore, this study evaluated the changes in the number of ED-to-ICU admissions and clinical outcomes in the periods before and during the pandemic.

Methods

We identified all adult patients admitted to the ICU through level 1 or 2 EDs in Korea between February 2018 and January 2021. February 2020 was considered the onset point of the COVID-19 pandemic. The monthly changes in the number of ED-to-ICU admissions and the in-hospital mortality rates before and during the COVID-19 pandemic were evaluated using interrupted time-series analysis.

Results

Among the 555,793 adult ED-to-ICU admissions, the number of ED-to-ICU admissions during the pandemic decreased compared to that before the pandemic (step change, 0.916; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.869–0.966], although the trend did not attain statistical significance (slope change, 0.997; 95% CI 0.991–1.003). The proportion of patients who arrived by emergency medical services, those transferred from other hospitals, and those with injuries declined significantly among the number of ED-to-ICU admissions during the pandemic. The proportion of in-hospital deaths significantly increased during the pandemic (step change, 1.054; 95% CI 1.003–1.108); however, the trend did not attain statistical significance (slope change, 1.001; 95% CI 0.996–1.007). Mortality rates in patients with an ED length of stay of ≥ 6 h until admission to the ICU rose abruptly following the onset of the pandemic (step change, 1.169; 95% CI 1.021–1.339).

Conclusions

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected ED-to-ICU admission and in-hospital mortality rates in Korea. This study’s findings have important implications for healthcare providers and policymakers planning the management of future outbreaks of infectious diseases. Strategies are needed to address the challenges posed by pandemics and improve the outcomes in critically ill patients.

Peer Review reports

Background

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has substantially disrupted critical care systems worldwide, including a marked decline in emergency department (ED) presentations in regions with widespread transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), such as the United States (US), United Kingdom, and Europe [1,2,3,4,5,6,7]. A study conducted in the US revealed a 42% reduction in the number of ED presentations due to all causes during the first wave of the pandemic compared to the corresponding period in 2019 [6]. An Italian study indicated that the decrease in the number of ED visits persisted during the second wave of the pandemic [7]. In Korea, a sudden surge in the number of patients with COVID-19 was noted from February to March 2020 [8], which corresponded to a decrease in the number of patients visiting EDs [9].

The decrease in the number of ED presentations during the COVID-19 pandemic raises concerns that patients with acute life-threatening conditions, such as acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest may not have received prompt medical attention [3]. In recent decades, the ED has emerged as a crucial point of entry for critically ill patients seeking intensive care unit (ICU) admission [10]. US-based studies have indicated that the number of ICU admissions from EDs has risen at a higher rate than that of the number of overall ED visits [11, 12]. In Korea, before the outbreak of the pandemic, over 200,000 critically ill patients were admitted to ICUs through EDs annually, accounting for 2.4% of all ED visits [13].

Although EDs mark a crucial route for unplanned ICU admissions, research on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on such admissions (from the ED to the ICU) is limited. This research is essential because critically ill patients in the ED can receive evidence-based interventions to ensure optimal outcomes [10]. In addition, the impact of the pandemic on critical care outcomes such as mortality is unclear [14]. The outcomes of patients requiring ICU management during a pandemic are affected by several factors, including patient characteristics, the organizational capacity of the critical care system, and the public health response to the pandemic [15, 16]. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the changes in ED-to-ICU admissions at the national level during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, it aimed to investigate the variability of these changes across demographic and clinical characteristics and evaluate changes in critical care outcomes.

Methods

Data source and setting

We conducted a retrospective time-series analysis of data obtained from the National Emergency Department Information System (NEDIS) between February 2018 and January 2021. The NEDIS is an ED-based database established with the objective of evaluating the emergency care system in Korea, in accordance with Article 15 of the Emergency Medical Service Act. It collects data from all patients presenting to participating EDs nationwide, including demographic information, mode of arrival, date and time of ED arrival and departure, triage scores, vital signs upon ED arrival, diagnostic codes, ED disposition, and clinical outcomes. Data transmitted from the EDs to the NEDIS were processed, and all patient-related information were anonymized and checked for data integrity. In Korea, EDs are classified into three levels based on their capacity and capability: level 1, regional emergency centers; level 2, local emergency centers; and, level 3, local emergency facilities [17]. Due to limited resources, level 3 EDs are less capable of providing critical care than are level 1 or level 2 EDs, and patient assessment information, such as triage scores and vital signs, provided to the NEDIS is typically missing or incomplete. Throughout the study period, the participation rate of EDs contributing to the NEDIS data remained consistently high: 99.5% in 2018, 99.8% in 2019, and 100% in 2020 and 2021 (Supplementary Table 1 [see Additional file 1]). The detailed design and variables of the NEDIS are described elsewhere [9, 13, 18, 19].

Study period and population

From the NEDIS database, we identified ED-to-ICU admissions between February 1, 2018, and January 31, 2021, based on the date of presentation to the ED. The first case of COVID-19 was reported in Korea on January 20, 2020 [8]. However, the number of ED presentations decreased sharply after the first COVID-19 wave in February 2020 (Supplementary Fig. 1 [see Additional file 1]) [18]. Therefore, the period from February 2020 to January 2021 was designated as the COVID-19 pandemic. During the 12-month period, 78,197 COVID-19 cases were reported in Korea. The duration from February 2018 to January 2020 was designated as the pre-pandemic period. The study period was set based on a prior study that recommends inclusion of at least 12 data points before and after the event to allow for significant adjustment for seasonality when using monthly time-series data [20].

Patients with incomplete information on age or sex, those < 18 years old, or those with missing information on ED presentation time and date were excluded from the study. Additionally, patients admitted to the ICU through level 3 EDs were excluded because these EDs reported different data collection methods, patient characteristics, and outcomes compared to other ED levels [13]. Since this study was conducted with patients who were admitted to the ICU through the ED alive, cases of in-ED mortality or cardiopulmonary arrest on arrival were not included.

Study outcomes and measurements

The primary outcome was the number of ICU admissions to the ED before and during the pandemic. The secondary outcome was in-hospital mortality.

Demographic and clinical data were collected from the NEDIS database, including age, sex, insurance type, injury upon ED presentation, emergency medical services (EMS) presentation, transferred-in, initial triage score, National Early Warning Score (NEWS) on presentation, ED length of stay (LOS), diagnostic codes, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score, and discharge status. The initial triage was performed using the Korean Triage and Acuity Scale (KTAS), which ranks patients according to clinical acuity on a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 indicates the need for immediate resuscitation and 5 indicates non-urgent care [21]. The NEWS was calculated using six physiological parameters, viz. respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, blood pressure, pulse rate, level of consciousness, and body temperature, with two additional points for patients requiring supplemental oxygen [22]. The NEWS values were categorized into three groups: 0–4, 5–6, and ≥ 7 [23]. ED LOS was defined as the time interval between a patient’s arrival at the ED and their departure. Prolonged ED LOS was defined as an ED LOS of ≥ 6 h and has been associated with increased mortality risk and a negative effect on the quality of care for critically ill patients in the ED [13, 24]. The diagnostic codes used during hospitalization were based on the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10). The CCI was calculated using previously established methods [25, 26] based on the diagnostic codes used during hospitalization.

Statistical analysis

Descriptive analyses were employed to compare the patient characteristics before and during the pandemic. Categorical variables are presented as frequencies and proportions and compared between patient groups using the Pearson chi-square test. Continuous variables were presented as the median and interquartile range (IQR) and analyzed using the Wilcoxon rank–sum test. We also calculated the numbers of ED-to-ICU admissions and in-hospital deaths for the ten most common primary diagnoses before and during the pandemic.

To investigate the potential effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on each outcome, we conducted an interrupted time-series analysis using a quasi-Poisson regression model and estimated the relative risk (RR) of abrupt steps and slope changes in outcomes over both periods (before and during the pandemic) [27, 28]. The data was aggregated monthly to reduce data fluctuations. To account for seasonal variations, we included the harmonic functions of the calendar month variables in the model [29]. The model is as follows:

$${Y_t} = {\beta _0} + {\rm{ }}{\beta _1}{T_t} + {\beta _2}{X_t} + {\beta _3}({T_t} - {T_0}) \cdot {X_t}$$

where Yt represents the number of ICU admissions as the outcome, β0 represents the baseline level, β1 represents the time since the start of the study (in months), β2 is the level change following the intervention, which is an indicator variable for the pandemic (Xt = 0: before the pandemic; Xt = 1: during the pandemic), and β3 indicates the slope change following the intervention (with T0 as the time elapsed from the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic). Harmonic terms specifying the number of sine and cosine pairs were used to adjust for seasonality [30]. β2 and β3 estimated the RR of abrupt steps and slope changes in the number of ICU admissions during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, respectively. Here, a step change denotes an abrupt and sustained alteration in time series data, while a slope change refers to a shift in the trend of the time series data [28]. Furthermore, we conducted stratified analysis to explore whether there are differences in the number of ICU admissions and the proportion of in-hospital mortality based on patient characteristics.

All analyses were performed using SAS 9.4 (SAS Inc., Cary, NC, USA) and R version 4.1.3 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). All tests were two-tailed, and P values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant.

Results

A total of 555,793 adult ED-to-ICU admissions were identified from the NEDIS database between February 2018 and January 2021. Of these, 374,560 (67.4%) patients were admitted within 24 months before the COVID-19 pandemic, and 181,233 (32.6%) patients were admitted within 12 months of the pandemic. The number of presentations in level 1 or 2 EDs, the number of ED-to-ICU admissions, and the ED-to-ICU admission rate per month during the study period are shown in Supplementary Table 2 [see Additional file 1].

The characteristics of the patients who underwent ED-to-ICU admissions before and during the COVID-19 pandemic are presented in Table 1. Sex did not differ significantly between the groups. The proportion of patients transferred from other hospitals decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic (36.6% before vs. 30.6% during the pandemic; P value < 0.001). The NEWS values of the study population at ED presentation were also lower during than those before the pandemic. The median NEWS was 4 (IQR 1–6) before the pandemic and 3 (IQR 1–6) during the pandemic. The NEWS was ≥ 7 in 19.1% of patients before the pandemic and 17.6% during the pandemic. Compared to the pre-pandemic period, the median ED LOS during the COVID-19 pandemic was significantly longer (3.7; IQR 2.1–6.8 h before vs. 4.3; IQR 2.4–8.6 h during, P value < 0.001). The monthly median ED LOS and percentage of prolonged ED LOS for the study patients are presented in Supplementary Fig. 2 [see Additional file 1]. The face validity of the ten most common primary diagnoses did not differ before and during the pandemic period (Supplementary Table 3 [see Additional file 1]). Acute myocardial infarction was the most common primary diagnosis in adult patients who underwent ED-to-ICU admissions, both before and during the pandemic (9.5% before vs. 9.6% during the pandemic, P value = 0.573). The frequency of cerebral infarction, intracerebral hemorrhage, sepsis, and acute renal failure increased, while that of intracranial injury, pneumonia, and cardiac arrest decreased, among all ED-to-ICU admissions during the pandemic. The in-hospital mortality rate for ED-to-ICU admissions was 14.3% in the pre-pandemic period, which significantly rose to 14.7% during the pandemic period (P value < 0.001). The top ten primary diagnoses with the highest number of deaths among patients with ED-to-ICU admission before and during the COVID-19 pandemic are presented in Supplementary Table 4 [see Additional file 1].

Table 1 Characteristics of patients admitted to the ICU through the ED before and during the pandemic

The risk estimates for changes in monthly ED-to-ICU admissions before and during the COVID-19 pandemic are presented in Table 2. The number of ED-to-ICU admissions plummeted abruptly during the pandemic compared to the pre-pandemic period (step change, 0.916; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.869–0.966), although the trend did not attain statistical significance (slope change, 0.997; 95% CI 0.991–1.003) (Fig. 1). Stratification analysis by age group and sex yielded similar results. ED-to-ICU admissions of patients who arrived by EMS, those transferred from other hospitals, and patients with injuries showed decreased significantly during the pandemic. The decrease in the step change was 0.926 for patients arriving by EMS (95% CI 0.877–0.978), 0.846 for patients transferred from other hospitals (95% CI 0.789–0.908), and 0.920 for patients with injuries (95% CI 0.865–0.977). However, these trends did not change significantly over time. Significant step reductions were observed in patients with KTAS scores 1 (step change, 0.918; 95% CI 0.858–0.983) and 2 (step change, 0.862; 95% CI 0.813–0.915), which are associated with relatively higher acuity. However, this decrease was not observed in low-acuity patients. Analysis using the physiological index showed abrupt step reductions in NEWS 0–4 (step change, 0.883; 95% CI 0.838–0.930) and 5–6 (step change, 0.881; 95% CI 0.828–0.937). No significant step changes were observed in patients with NEWS ≥ 7, although there was a slope change (slope change, 0.989; 95% CI 0.980–0.999). There was no significant step change in patients with an ED LOS of ≥ 6 h until admission to the ICU. However, there was an increasing trend in ICU admission in these patients (slope change, 1.014; 95% CI 1.004–1.025) (Fig. 2). Analysis by ED level revealed that both level 1 and 2 EDs showed a drop in ED-to-ICU admissions during the pandemic.

Table 2 Interrupted time-series analysis of the monthly number of ED-to-ICU admissions before and during COVID-19 pandemic
Fig. 1
figure 1

Monthly number of ED-to-ICU admissions before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. ED, emergency department; ICU, intensive care unit; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; CI, confidence interval

Fig. 2
figure 2

Monthly number of prolonged ED LOS among ED-to-ICU admissions before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. ED, emergency department; LOS, length of stay; ICU, intensive care unit; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; CI, confidence interval

The risk estimates for changes in the monthly proportion of in-hospital mortality among ED-to-ICU admissions before and during the COVID-19 pandemic are presented in Table 3. There was a significant increase in the frequency of in-hospital deaths during the pandemic compared to the pre-pandemic period (step change, 1.054; 95% CI 1.003–1.108), but the trend did not change significantly (slope change, 1.001; 95% CI 0.996–1.007) (Fig. 3). The mortality rate in patients with an ED LOS of ≥ 6 h until admission to the ICU showed an abrupt increase after the pandemic (step change, 1.169; 95% CI 1.021–1.339). The mortality rate did not change significantly before or during the pandemic when patients were stratified by ED level. Multivariate analysis for patient characteristics showed that age, sex, insurance type, EMS presentation, injury-related presentation, KTAS score, NEWS, prolonged ED LOS, and CCI score were independently associated with in-hospital mortality both before and during the COVID-19 pandemic (Supplementary Table 5 [see Additional file 1]).

Table 3 Interrupted time-series analysis of the monthly in-hospital mortality rate before and during the COVID-19 pandemic
Fig. 3
figure 3

Monthly in-hospital mortality rates among ED-to-ICU admissions before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. ED, emergency department; ICU, intensive care unit; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; CI, confidence interval

Discussion

We investigated the changes in ED-to-ICU admission and mortality rates in Korea before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of ED-to-ICU admissions decreased significantly during the pandemic. This decrease was observed in all age groups and both sexes but was most pronounced in patients who arrived by EMS, were transferred from other hospitals, had injuries, and had high-acuity conditions. The proportion of in-hospital deaths among ED-to-ICU admissions increased during the pandemic, especially in patients with an ED LOS ≥ 6 h before admission to the ICU. During the early phases of the pandemic, changes in ED-to-ICU admissions and mortality rates were reported in several countries; the magnitude and direction of these changes varied regionally. For instance, ED-to-ICU admissions increased in the US [31] but decreased in Canada [32]. ICU mortality rates during the pandemic also manifested regional differences [14]. These variations are attributed to a combination of factors such as the extent of COVID-19 spread, burden on the healthcare system, changes in patient healthcare-seeking behavior, regional healthcare infrastructure, and policies [14].

Several factors may have contributed to the decline in ED-to-ICU admissions during the first year of the pandemic. This decline can be partly explained by a decrease in demand. For example, patients with serious illnesses may have avoided visiting the ED because of the fear of contracting COVID-19. Korea experienced a large-scale nosocomial infection outbreak during the Middle East respiratory syndrome outbreak in 2015 [33], and the spread of COVID-19 within hospitals was also reported [34]. Fear of infection and the call for patients with COVID-19 to avoid visiting the ED may have impeded access to urgent health needs [35]. Surveys conducted in Korea in 2020 reported public avoidance of medical care and delayed access [36, 37]. Another possibility is that the implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as working from home, travel restrictions, and bans on social gathering could have led to a decrease in outdoor activities and public transportation use [38], which could explain the decrease in ICU admissions for traumatic injury. A Korean study reported a decrease in the incidence and severity of injuries after the introduction of NPIs [39]. However, the reduction in demand is unlikely to account for the entire magnitude of decline. Public health measures to divert resources to patients with COVID-19 may have contributed to the decrease in ED-to-ICU admissions. For example, the Korean government implemented measures to accommodate patients with COVID-19 while also preventing the spread of the virus in hospitals. These measures included mandatory polymerase chain reaction tests for SARS-CoV-2 in patients presenting to the ED with fever or respiratory symptoms [40] and the designation of a portion of ICU beds exclusively for critically ill patients with COVID-19 [41, 42]. However, these measures may have hindered patients with non-COVID-19 critical conditions from accessing ICU care. Additional interviews and new COVID-19 testing protocols may have prolonged ED LOS, limiting ED capacity [40, 41]. In fact, some ICU beds (up to 4% of all ICU beds) were reserved for patients with COVID-19 and were unavailable to non-COVID-19 patients even if they remained unoccupied, which may have increased the threshold for ICU admission [41]. We found that the ED LOS of patients admitted to the ICU during the pandemic was longer than that of patients admitted to the ICU in the pre-pandemic period. This finding is consistent with that of other studies indicating output dysfunction of critical care in the ED [43, 44]. EMS capacity also decreased when medical resources were reallocated. Some ambulances and paramedics were dedicated to transporting patients with COVID-19 [27, 45], which may have contributed to the reduction in the numbers of patients transferred from other hospitals and those who arrived by EMS.

Despite the decrease in the number of ICU admissions from the ED during the pandemic, the in-hospital mortality rate increased during this period. A pandemic can alter the characteristics of patients admitted to the ICU. A US-based study reported that the proportion of patients admitted to the ICU for respiratory insufficiency and sepsis increased during the pandemic surge period compared to that before the pandemic period, whereas the proportion of patients diagnosed with myocardial infarction and stroke decreased [46]. In contrast, a study in Japan reported that the etiologies of patients in the ICU were similar before and during the COVID-19 pandemic [47]. In our study, the primary diagnoses before and during the pandemic were similar, and the degree of physiological deterioration at the time of ED presentation, as measured by the NEWS, was reduced. One possible explanation is that prolonged ED LOS may have contributed to the rise in mortality observed during the pandemic. Prolonged ED LOS is potentially dangerous for critically ill patients, as EDs may not have the necessary equipment or staff to provide the complex and continuous care required by critically ill patients [10]. A study conducted in Korea before the pandemic reported that ED LOS of ≥ 6 h in patients admitted to the ICU from the ED was associated with a higher risk of mortality [13], while other studies have reported a dose-response relationship between ED LOS and the risk of mortality [48,49,50]. The dose-response relationship observed in prior studies could also explain the increased mortality in patients with prolonged ED LOS observed in the study. Another potential explanation for worsening ICU outcomes is that the quality of critical care may have decreased. Even before the pandemic, Korea reported a mismatch between the supply of ICU beds and the increasing demand, along with a shortage of ICU staff [51,52,53]. In this context, allocating ICU beds to critically ill patients with COVID-19 could lead to a reduction in the available ICU capacity and potential overcrowding. A multicenter study of tertiary hospitals in Korea reported a decrease in the availability of ICU beds for non-COVID-19 patients [41]. A study of ICU registries from 15 countries found that ICU mortality was higher in systems that were already under-resourced before the pandemic and were unable to cope with the increased demand for critical care caused by the pandemic [14]. Although confounding factors such as demographics, scale of the COVID-19 pandemic, and public health measures could limit the findings, this suggests that differences in critical care resources, including ICU bed capacity and ICU nurse-to-patient ratios, may have a bearing on ICU outcomes during the pandemic. However, further studies are required to confirm these hypotheses.

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first nationwide study to investigate unplanned ICU admissions in Korea during the pandemic. Our findings have implications for critical care system planning and future pandemic management. Despite vast efforts to maintain the continuity of health services in response to the pandemic in Korea, we observed a decline in ED-to-ICU admissions and an increase in mortality, which implies reduced accessibility to critical care and deteriorated care quality. This decline in ED-to-ICU admissions may be partly related to the decreased demand for critical care during the pandemic. However, this decline is largely attributable to the failure of the critical care system’s capacity and resources. Furthermore, the response to the pandemic may have caused more unintended harm than the pandemic itself [54], particularly in environments with limited critical care resources [14]. Considering the widespread disruption of critical care and increased mortality in the early stages of the pandemic, as demonstrated in this study, our findings call for a reexamination of pandemic preparedness and the healthcare system’s response. These include expanding the ICU bed capacity in response to public health crises [15, 55], establishing regional coordination centers [56], and implementing protocols for determining ICU priority regardless of COVID-19 status [57]. Additionally, policies to enhance efficiency and reduce LOS in EDs are crucial, such as streamlining testing protocols [58], increasing staffing [59], and investing in telemedicine solutions [60].

This study had several limitations. First, a definitive causal relationship could not be established owing to the observational study design. Although the analysis was designed to strengthen certain key aspects of causality (temporal sequence, reversibility, strength of association, and coherence), residual confounding factors or other unmeasured aspects such as changes in ICU admission criteria not available in the data could mar the results. However, we implemented measures to reduce residual confounding factors and other unmeasured aspects by adjusting for seasonality in a setting where a randomized controlled trial is not feasible. Despite these limitations, our study provides important insights into the relationship between the pandemic and critical care and could inform future research efforts to definitively establish causality. Second, this study was not designed to reflect the surge in COVID-19 cases during the pandemic. In particular, the study did not include detailed data on ICU bed capacity, ICU occupancy rate, or staffing during the study period as these variables were not available in the NEDIS. Further research is needed to evaluate the changes in ICU admission and mortality in response to repeated surges during the COVID-19 pandemic. Third, we analyzed the NEDIS data from February 2018 to January 2021. However, the findings of our study may not be generalizable to later time periods, as the characteristics of the COVID-19 pandemic have changed significantly since then. For instance, the wild-type strain was the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in Korea until March 2021, but the Delta and Omicron variants have since emerged as the dominant strains globally [61]. These variants have been associated with an increase in ED presentations and ICU admissions among COVID-19 patients [62,63,64]. Therefore, future studies are needed to investigate the manner in which these variants have impacted ED-to-ICU admissions and patient outcomes.

Conclusion

The COVID-19 pandemic exerted a significant impact on Korea’s critical care system. The number of patients admitted to the ICU through the ED decreased significantly, and the in-hospital mortality rate increased during that period. These challenges highlight the importance of monitoring ICU admissions and mortality rates during public health emergencies and the need for interventions to mitigate the impact of these events on patients with critical conditions.

Data availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Abbreviations

CCI:

Charlson Comorbidity Index

CI:

Confidence interval

COVID-19:

Coronavirus disease 2019

ED:

Emergency department

EMS:

Emergency medical service

ICD-10:

International classification of diseases, tenth revision

ICU:

Intensive care unit

IQR:

Interquartile range

KTAS:

Korean Triage and Acuity Scale

LOS:

Length of stay

NEDIS:

National Emergency Department Information System

NEWS:

National Early Warning Score

NPI:

Non-pharmaceutical intervention

RR:

Relative risk

SARS-CoV-2:

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2

US:

United States

References

  1. Wartelle A, et al. Effect of the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown on non-COVID-19 emergency department visits in Eastern France: reduced risk or avoidance behavior? Public Health Pract (Oxf). 2021;2:100109.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  2. Santi L, et al. Non-COVID-19 patients in times of pandemic: emergency department visits, hospitalizations and cause-specific mortality in Northern Italy. PLoS ONE. 2021;16(3):e0248995.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  3. Lange SJ, et al. Potential Indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on Use of Emergency Departments for Acute Life-threatening conditions - United States, January-May 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020;69(25):795–800.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  4. Kruizinga MD, et al. The impact of lockdown on pediatric ED visits and hospital admissions during the COVID19 pandemic: a multicenter analysis and review of the literature. Eur J Pediatr. 2021;180(7):2271–9.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  5. Kociejowski A, et al. Comparison of presentations to the emergency department during the COVID-19 pandemic (COPED-C). J Public Health (Oxf). 2021;43(4):731–8.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  6. Hartnett KP, et al. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Emergency Department visits - United States, January 1, 2019-May 30, 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020;69(23):699–704.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  7. Golinelli D, et al. Patterns of Emergency Department visits for acute and chronic diseases during the two pandemic waves in Italy. Am J Emerg Med. 2021;50:22–6.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  8. Sung HK, et al. Clinical course and outcomes of 3,060 patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Korea, January-May 2020. J Korean Med Sci. 2020;35(30):e280.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  9. Sung HK, et al. Impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on Emergency Care utilization in patients with Acute myocardial infarction: a Nationwide Population-based study. J Korean Med Sci. 2021;36(16):e111.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  10. Ghosh R, Pepe P. The critical care cascade: a systems approach. Curr Opin Crit Care. 2009;15(4):279–83.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  11. Herring AA, et al. Increasing critical care admissions from U.S. emergency departments, 2001–2009. Crit Care Med. 2013;41(5):1197–204.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  12. Lambe S, et al. Trends in the use and capacity of California’s emergency departments, 1990–1999. Ann Emerg Med. 2002;39(4):389–96.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  13. Lee KS, et al. Patient and hospital characteristics predict prolonged emergency department length of stay and in-hospital mortality: a nationwide analysis in Korea. BMC Emerg Med. 2022;22(1):183.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  14. McLarty J, et al. Non-COVID-19 intensive care admissions during the pandemic: a multinational registry-based study. Thorax. 2024;79(2):120–7.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  15. Arabi YM, Myatra SN, Lobo SM. Surging ICU during COVID-19 pandemic: an overview. Curr Opin Crit Care. 2022;28(6):638–44.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  16. Rezoagli E, et al. Development of a critical care response - experiences from Italy during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic. Anesthesiol Clin. 2021;39(2):265–84.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  17. Kim JS et al. Emergency Department as the Entry Point to Inpatient Care: a Nationwide, Population-based study in South Korea, 2016–2018. J Clin Med, 2021. 10(8).

  18. Pak YS, et al. Effects of Emergency Care-related Health policies during the COVID-19 pandemic in Korea: a quasi-experimental study. J Korean Med Sci. 2021;36(16):e121.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  19. Min HS, Chang HJ, Sung HK. Emergency Department utilization of Adult Cancer patient in Korea: a Nationwide Population-based study, 2017–2019. Cancer Res Treat. 2022;54(3):680–9.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  20. Hategeka C, et al. Use of interrupted time series methods in the evaluation of health system quality improvement interventions: a methodological systematic review. BMJ Glob Health. 2020;5(10):e003567.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  21. Kwon H, et al. The Korean triage and acuity scale: associations with admission, disposition, mortality and length of stay in the emergency department. Int J Qual Health Care. 2019;31(6):449–55.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  22. Williams B. The National Early warning score: from concept to NHS implementation. Clin Med (Lond). 2022;22(6):499–505.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  23. Guan G, et al. The use of early warning system scores in prehospital and emergency department settings to predict clinical deterioration: a systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS ONE. 2022;17(3):e0265559.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  24. Chalfin DB, et al. Impact of delayed transfer of critically ill patients from the emergency department to the intensive care unit. Crit Care Med. 2007;35(6):1477–83.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  25. Quan H, et al. Updating and validating the Charlson comorbidity index and score for risk adjustment in hospital discharge abstracts using data from 6 countries. Am J Epidemiol. 2011;173(6):676–82.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  26. Pylvalainen J, et al. Charlson Comorbidity Index Based on Hospital Episode Statistics performs adequately in Predicting Mortality, but its discriminative ability diminishes over Time. Clin Epidemiol. 2019;11:923–32.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  27. Han C. Changes in mortality rate of the general population during the COVID-19 pandemic: an interrupted time series study in Korea. Int J Epidemiol. 2022;51(5):1396–407.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  28. Bernal JL, Cummins S, Gasparrini A. Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. Int J Epidemiol. 2017;46(1):348–55.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  29. Kong M, Cambon A, Smith MJ. Extended logistic regression model for studies with interrupted events, Seasonal Trend, and serial correlation. Commun Stat - Theory Methods. 2012;41(19):3528–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Bernal JL, Cummins S, Gasparrini A. Corrigendum to: interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. Int J Epidemiol. 2020;49(4):1414.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  31. Griffin G, et al. The impact of COVID-19 on emergency department boarding and in-hospital mortality. Am J Emerg Med. 2023;67:5–9.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  32. Rennert-May E, et al. The impact of COVID-19 on hospital admissions and emergency department visits: a population-based study. PLoS ONE. 2021;16(6):e0252441.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  33. Cho SY, et al. MERS-CoV outbreak following a single patient exposure in an emergency room in South Korea: an epidemiological outbreak study. Lancet. 2016;388(10048):994–1001.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  34. Jo HJ, et al. Simultaneous nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks with different patterns of occurrence in two General wards; experience in a Tertiary Care Hospital in Korea. J Korean Med Sci. 2021;36(40):e284.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  35. Garrafa E, et al. When fear backfires: emergency department accesses during the Covid-19 pandemic. Health Policy. 2020;124(12):1333–9.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  36. Kang E, et al. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the healthcare utilization in Korea: analysis of a nationwide survey. J Infect Public Health. 2022;15(8):915–21.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  37. Lee M, You M. Avoidance of Healthcare Utilization in South Korea during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Int J Environ Res Public Health, 2021. 18(8).

  38. Barbieri DM, et al. Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on mobility in ten countries and associated perceived risk for all transport modes. PLoS ONE. 2021;16(2):e0245886.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  39. Cho YS, et al. Effect of social distancing on injury incidence during the COVID-19 pandemic: an interrupted time-series analysis. BMJ Open. 2022;12(4):e055296.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  40. Kim YJ, et al. How to keep patients and staff safe from accidental SARS-CoV-2 exposure in the emergency room: lessons from South Korea’s explosive COVID-19 outbreak. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2021;42(1):18–24.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  41. Kim S, et al. Comparison of clinical characteristics and hospital mortality in critically ill patients without COVID-19 before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a multicenter, retrospective, propensity score-matched study. Ann Intensive Care. 2022;12(1):57.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  42. Shin HS, et al. National Academy of Medicine of Korea (NAMOK) Key statements on COVID-19. J Korean Med Sci. 2021;36(41):e287.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  43. Guo F, et al. The impact of COVID-19 on Emergency Department length of stay for urgent and life-threatening patients. BMC Health Serv Res. 2022;22(1):696.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  44. Lucero A, et al. Worsening of emergency department length of stay during the COVID-19 pandemic. J Am Coll Emerg Physicians Open. 2021;2(3):e12489.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  45. Lim D, et al. The Comparison of Emergency Medical Service responses to and outcomes of out-of-hospital Cardiac arrest before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in an area of Korea. J Korean Med Sci. 2021;36(36):e255.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  46. Park BD, et al. Relationship between a State-Directed Lockdown on Non-COVID-19-related ICU admissions and mortality in a Multicenter Colorado Healthcare System. Crit Care Explor. 2022;4(12):e0791.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  47. Ohbe H, et al. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on critical care utilization in Japan: a nationwide inpatient database study. J Intensive Care. 2022;10(1):51.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  48. Singer AJ, et al. The association between length of emergency department boarding and mortality. Acad Emerg Med. 2011;18(12):1324–9.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  49. Groenland CNL, et al. Emergency Department to ICU time is Associated with Hospital Mortality: a Registry analysis of 14,788 patients from Six University hospitals in the Netherlands. Crit Care Med. 2019;47(11):1564–71.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  50. Guttmann A, et al. Association between waiting times and short term mortality and hospital admission after departure from emergency department: population based cohort study from Ontario. Can BMJ. 2011;342:d2983.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  51. Cho NR, et al. Discrepancy between the demand and supply of Intensive Care Unit beds in South Korea from 2011 to 2019: a cross-sectional analysis. Yonsei Med J. 2021;62(12):1098–106.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  52. Jung M, et al. The effect of bed-to-nurse ratio on hospital mortality of critically ill children on mechanical ventilation: a nationwide population-based study. Ann Intensive Care. 2020;10(1):159.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  53. Lim CM, et al. Critical care in Korea: Present and Future. J Korean Med Sci. 2015;30(11):1540–4.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  54. Arsenault C, et al. COVID-19 and resilience of healthcare systems in ten countries. Nat Med. 2022;28(6):1314–24.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  55. Arabi YM, et al. How the COVID-19 pandemic will change the future of critical care. Intensive Care Med. 2021;47(3):282–91.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  56. Galvagno SM Jr., et al. The role of a statewide critical care Coordination Center in the Coronavirus Disease 2019 pandemic-and Beyond. Crit Care Explor. 2021;3(11):e0568.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  57. White DB, Lo B. Mitigating inequities and saving lives with ICU triage during the COVID-19 pandemic. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2021;203(3):287–95.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  58. Fistera D, et al. Point-of-care PCR testing of SARS-CoV-2 in the emergency department: influence on workflow and efficiency. PLoS ONE. 2023;18(8):e0288906.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  59. Pourmand A, et al. Rethinking Traditional Emergency Department Care Models in a Post-coronavirus Disease-2019 World. J Emerg Nurs. 2023;49(4):520–9. e2.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  60. Gottlieb M, et al. Impact of a telemedicine program on avoidable and unavoidable emergency department visits during the COVID-19 pandemic. Am J Emerg Med. 2023;66:167–9.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  61. Ryu BH, et al. Clinical features of adult COVID-19 patients without risk factors before and after the Nationwide SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 (Delta)-variant outbreak in Korea: experience from Gyeongsangnam-Do. J Korean Med Sci. 2021;36(49):e341.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  62. Bouzid D, et al. Comparison of patients infected with Delta Versus Omicron COVID-19 variants presenting to Paris Emergency departments: a retrospective cohort study. Ann Intern Med. 2022;175(6):831–7.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  63. Iuliano AD, et al. Trends in Disease Severity and Health Care utilization during the early omicron variant period compared with previous SARS-CoV-2 High Transmission periods - United States, December 2020-January 2022. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2022;71(4):146–52.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  64. Ong SWX, et al. Clinical and virological features of severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants of concern: a retrospective cohort study comparing B.1.1.7 (alpha), B.1.351 (Beta), and B.1.617.2 (Delta). Clin Infect Dis. 2022;75(1):e1128–36.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We appreciate the dedication of Dr. Han-duk Yoon, the founder of the NEDIS.

Funding

This study was supported by a grant from the National Medical Center of Korea (grant number: NMC2022-PR-01). However, the funding organization did not have any role in the collection, management, analysis, or interpretation of the data; the preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; or the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

JYM, YSL, and SJK contributed to the study conception and design. K-SL drafted the manuscript and analyzed the data. CH, HSM, JL, SHY, and YK revised the manuscript. HKS supervised the study and was a major contributor to the writing of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ho Kyung Sung.

Ethics declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

This study was approved by the institutional review board of the National Medical Center (approval number: NMC-2022-06-066) and conformed to the provisions of the Declaration of Helsinki. Due to the retrospective nature of this study, the need for informed consent for participation was waived by the institutional review board of the National Medical Center.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Additional information

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary Material 1

Rights and permissions

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Lee, KS., Han, C., Min, H.S. et al. Impact of the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic on emergency department-to-intensive care unit admissions in Korea: an interrupted time-series analysis. BMC Emerg Med 24, 51 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12873-024-00968-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12873-024-00968-1

Keywords